Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:06:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc660…d0c8
sports · 65 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses34 / 22
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions9
Markets (closed)56 / 65
History coverage10d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$32
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 Under 88¢ 88¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 79¢ 80¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 71¢ 70¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 71¢ 69¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 80¢ 80¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 68¢ 68¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 73¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 Over 71¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 42¢ 6¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-86%)
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? No 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? No 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 9? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 9? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 6? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 9? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 8? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $9 +$4 +42%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Helsingborgs IF vs. Landskrona BoIS end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $5 +$2 +47%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Will Ceará SC vs. Avaí FC end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Will SC Recife vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$9 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 +$33 +687%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -96%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 7? Jun 09 $7 −$3 -43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 7? Jun 09 $17 +$3 +16%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $15 −$14 -94%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -27%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 −$3 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $39 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $18 +$11 +60%
Will Ethereum reach $1,600 on June 6? Jun 07 $17 +$24 +140%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% −$35
sports 46% +$17
politics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $2 1h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $3 1h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $4 1h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $5 1h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $7 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 68¢ $9 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 71¢ $12 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 71¢ $9 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $9 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $12 14h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 79¢ $17 15h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $4 17h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $3 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 71¢ $4 23h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $5 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 26h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $5 28h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 71¢ $5 28h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 75¢ $5 28h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 71¢ $5 28h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $3 36h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $2 36h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 74¢ $5 36h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 78¢ $5 36h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 70¢ $5 38h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 72¢ $2 39h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 70¢ $5 39h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 72¢ $3 39h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 78¢ $5 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +0.5% -9.1% 63% 61% -2.2%
≤30d 56 -3.1% -12.3% 61% 59% -12.6%
≤90d 56 -3.1% -12.3% 61% 59% -12.6%
all 56 -3.1% -12.3% 61% 59% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 59% -12.6%
10% -20.7% 55% -21.0%
15% -28.4% 30% -28.6%
20% -35.4% 5% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.86 · official $90.89 (match) · 122 history records