Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:30:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc660…70c5
crypto · 1220 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$652 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$743 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$743
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses747 / 471
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$107
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1218 / 1220
History coverage134d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 1218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$224
7 days−$217
14 days−$198
30 days−$430
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -20%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 14 $5 −$4 -71%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $61 −$60 -98%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Megaquake by June 30? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -78%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -59%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Jun 14 $1 $0 -28%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 14 $13 −$1 -5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $1 +$7 +656%
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -64%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 −$47 -93%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $55 +$22 +40%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$6 -30%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $61 −$4 -6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -30%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +226%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12 +$17 +140%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $35 +$3 +8%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 08 $12 −$12 -100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 07 $10 +$5 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 +$6 +115%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $2 $0 -0%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 02 $5 −$5 -92%
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? Jun 02 $64 +$14 +22%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 01 $1 $0 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 31% −$139
sports 28% −$353
other 24% −$434
politics 8% +$255
world 4% −$117
tech 3% +$12
culture 0% +$25
finance 0% −$25
weather 0% +$34
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 52¢ $0 7m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 74¢ $7 7m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 52¢ $8 8m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $8 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $9 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 4h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 27¢ $2 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 5h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $4 5h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 5h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $61 9h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 9h
Megaquake by June 30? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 9h
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 9h
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 9h
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? SELL Yes 88¢ $3 9h
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 42¢ $4 9h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 9h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 50¢ $5 9h
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 60¢ $8 9h
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 6¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -5.2% -14.2% 33% 24% -45.8%
≤30d 124 -10.2% -18.8% 44% 33% -19.9%
≤90d 618 -4.4% -13.5% 59% 46% -12.9%
all 1218 -2.1% -11.5% 61% 43% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 43% -10.9%
10% -19.9% 29% -19.5%
15% -27.7% 21% -27.3%
20% -34.8% 16% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.82 · official $9.82 (match) · 3500 history records