trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | $6,973 | $7,040 | +$67 (+1%) |
| Kings vs. Celtics | Kings | 18¢ | 0¢ | $5,940 | $0 | −$5,940 (-100%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $19,000 | $0 | −$19,000 (-100%) |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) | Heat | 47¢ | 0¢ | $6,988 | $0 | −$6,988 (-100%) |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | Lakers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $14,080 | $0 | −$14,080 (-100%) |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | 49ers | 40¢ | 0¢ | $20,000 | $0 | −$20,000 (-100%) |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5) | Northern Iowa Panthers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $78 | $0 | −$78 (-100%) |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | 76ers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $0 | −$24 (-100%) |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Maycee Barber | 63¢ | 0¢ | $23,009 | $0 | −$23,009 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Islanders | 60¢ | 0¢ | $30,853 | $0 | −$30,853 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Raptors | 73¢ | 0¢ | $27,229 | $0 | −$27,229 (-100%) |
| UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | Ignacio Bahamondes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $48,015 | $0 | −$48,015 (-100%) |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) | Pacers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $9,964 | $0 | −$9,964 (-100%) |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Jazz | 44¢ | 0¢ | $9,988 | $0 | −$9,988 (-100%) |
| Stars vs. Penguins | Penguins | 44¢ | 0¢ | $32,349 | $0 | −$32,349 (-100%) |
| Predators vs. Sharks | Sharks | 52¢ | 0¢ | $7,608 | $0 | −$7,608 (-100%) |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $10,200 | $0 | −$10,200 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 39¢ | 0¢ | $14,976 | $0 | −$14,976 (-100%) |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 53¢ | 0¢ | $10,959 | $0 | −$10,959 (-100%) |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Bucks | 45¢ | 0¢ | $97 | $0 | −$97 (-100%) |
| Spread: Middle Tennessee (-6.5) | Sam Houston Bearkats | 47¢ | 0¢ | $4,329 | $0 | −$4,329 (-100%) |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 45¢ | 0¢ | $8,213 | $0 | −$8,213 (-100%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $2,107 | $0 | −$2,107 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $25,848 | $0 | −$25,848 (-100%) |
| UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims) | Finney | 43¢ | 0¢ | $6,923 | $0 | −$6,923 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Celtics | Jun 14 | $5,940 | −$5,940 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) | Jun 14 | $6,988 | −$6,988 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jun 14 | $20,000 | −$20,000 | -100% |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5) | Jun 14 | $78 | −$78 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Jun 14 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Jun 14 | $27,229 | −$27,229 | -100% |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) | Jun 14 | $9,964 | −$9,964 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Jun 14 | $9,988 | −$9,988 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Jun 14 | $97 | −$97 | -100% |
| Spread: Middle Tennessee (-6.5) | Jun 14 | $4,329 | −$4,329 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Jun 14 | $25,848 | −$25,848 | -100% |
| UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims) | Jun 14 | $6,923 | −$6,923 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Jun 14 | $19,689 | −$19,689 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) | Jun 14 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5 | Jun 14 | $13,923 | −$13,923 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Jun 14 | $21,576 | −$21,576 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Canucks | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Oilers | Jun 14 | $677 | −$677 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Oilers | Jun 14 | $33,701 | −$33,701 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $4,750 | −$4,750 | -100% |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5) | Jun 14 | $1,958 | −$1,958 | -100% |
| Penn State vs. Clemson | Jun 14 | $11,027 | −$11,027 | -100% |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $19,308 | −$19,308 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Blue Jackets | Jun 14 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Suns vs. 76ers | Jun 14 | $45,667 | −$45,667 | -100% |
| Spread: Bucks (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Stars | Jun 14 | $6,975 | −$6,975 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Kraken | Jun 14 | $13,493 | −$13,493 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Jun 14 | $14,000 | −$14,000 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Jun 14 | $22,296 | −$22,296 | -100% |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $20,840 | −$20,840 | -100% |
| Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $3,206 | −$3,206 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Jun 14 | $9,996 | −$9,996 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $2,405 | −$2,405 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Jun 14 | $10,814 | −$10,814 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) | Jun 14 | $4,724 | −$4,724 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. 76ers | Jun 14 | $4,132 | −$4,132 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $18,000 | −$18,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $3,565 | −$3,565 | -100% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Sooners | Jun 14 | $6,165 | −$6,165 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pelicans | Jun 14 | $21,736 | −$21,736 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Wild | Jun 14 | $15,746 | −$15,746 | -100% |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14? | Jun 14 | $35,700 | −$35,700 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Flames | Jun 14 | $3,113 | −$3,113 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Pacers | Jun 14 | $317 | −$317 | -100% |
| Spread: BYU (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $6,961 | −$6,961 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Hurricanes | Jun 14 | $1,857 | −$1,857 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Oilers | Jun 14 | $339 | −$339 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-8.5) | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Jun 14 | $4,388 | −$4,388 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 396 | -85.1% | -86.5% | 8% | 7% | -76.3% |
| ≤30d | 487 | -65.9% | -69.2% | 17% | 17% | -66.3% |
| ≤90d | 819 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 30% | 30% | -43.7% |
| all | 819 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 30% | 30% | -43.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -42.4% | 30% | -43.7% |
| 10% | -47.9% | 29% | -49.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -53.0% | 28% | -54.0% |
| 20% | -57.6% | 26% | -58.5% |