Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:03:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc65e…04fc
crypto · 769 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$181 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$141 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized+$141
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses487 / 270
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions12
Markets (closed)757 / 769
History coverage106d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 12 History 757 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$20
14 days−$254
30 days+$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+115%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-16%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -88%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $14 +$9 +66%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Indonesia vs. Oman end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $2 +$4 +212%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 −$6 -83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +110%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$2 +79%
Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $6 +$2 +31%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $8 +$1 +13%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 +$1 +57%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +25%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% +$300
other 28% −$113
sports 6% −$44
world 1% +$4
politics 0% −$4
tech 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 22m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 58m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $23 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 76¢ $1 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $5 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $3 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $4 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $3 27h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 BUY 31¢ $2 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3d
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $2 3d
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $2 3d
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -29.3% -36.0% 38% 38% -26.0%
≤30d 173 -24.0% -31.3% 43% 40% +0.7%
≤90d 716 -1.6% -11.0% 64% 47% -3.8%
all 757 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 47% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 47% -6.1%
10% -19.4% 36% -15.1%
15% -27.2% 28% -23.3%
20% -34.3% 21% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.49 · official $28.49 (match) · 1883 history records