Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc64c…4e49
crypto · 1134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$350 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$345 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$345
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses589 / 516
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1105 / 1134
History coverage27d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day55.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$203
7 days+$515
14 days+$535
30 days+$345
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$130 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$85 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$28 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$63 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$60 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$12 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $90 +$60 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$38 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $42 +$28 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$13 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$14 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$350
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $138 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $88 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $41 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $13 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $17 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $18 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $87 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $41 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 250 -0.8% -10.3% 55% 55% +0.2%
≤30d 1105 -3.7% -12.9% 53% 53% -7.9%
≤90d 1105 -3.7% -12.9% 53% 53% -7.9%
all 1105 -3.7% -12.9% 53% 53% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 53% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 52% -16.7%
15% -28.8% 49% -24.8%
20% -35.8% 44% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.95 · official $19.85 (match) · 2119 history records