Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:37:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc647…7242
other · 282 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$183 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$177 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$128
Realized+$177
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses95 / 166
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions21
Markets (closed)261 / 282
History coverage99d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit21%
Chart Positions 21 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$29
30 days+$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-0%)
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 44¢ 46¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+3%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 40¢ 39¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 18¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 43¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 30¢ 50¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+67%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 35¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-42%)
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 3¢ 11¢ $0 $2 +$1 (+253%)
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 3¢ 31¢ $0 $2 +$1 (+927%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 3¢ 21¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+585%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 3¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+247%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 3¢ 12¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 13 $4 +$21 +525%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 31 $1 +$2 +226%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners May 31 $5 +$6 +119%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $6 −$6 -98%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Mercedes achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr May 26 $1 +$1 +96%
Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg? May 26 $5 +$4 +82%
Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri? May 26 $4 +$6 +178%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 26 $6 +$9 +172%
Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Russell? May 26 $2 +$13 +669%
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 26 $4 +$13 +380%
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri? May 26 $4 +$16 +376%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand May 26 $4 +$22 +525%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand May 26 $14 +$38 +285%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? May 24 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadia May 24 $2 +$20 +872%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $7 −$6 -97%
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton? May 24 $14 +$10 +74%
Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar? May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand May 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand P May 24 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $8 −$7 -97%
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly? May 24 $7 −$7 -99%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr May 24 $31 +$3 +11%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr May 24 $23 +$20 +87%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? May 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix May 23 $4 $0 +7%
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 May 23 $13 −$12 -98%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix May 23 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pri May 23 $0 $0 -100%
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $6 +$4 +57%
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the May 23 $1 +$100 +9723%
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $7 −$2 -34%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the May 22 $2 −$2 -97%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr May 08 $3 +$2 +73%
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Russell? May 08 $8 +$7 +97%
Will Mercedes achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 03 $3 −$2 -76%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand P May 03 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$192
crypto 8% −$7
culture 3% −$14
sports 3% +$9
world 0% +$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 30¢ $2 18m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 1h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 44¢ $15 1h
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 40¢ $15 1h
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $36 1h
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 31¢ $1 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 14d
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC 20¢ $1 14d
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score BUY No 49¢ $2 14d
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $5 14d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 14d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 14d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 32¢ $2 14d
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer BUY No 66¢ $10 14d
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 19d
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +525.0% +465.5% 100% 100% +465.5%
≤30d 46 +87.9% +70.0% 41% 39% +27.4%
≤90d 174 +23.7% +12.0% 40% 37% +0.8%
all 261 +9.7% -0.7% 36% 34% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.7% 34% -0.7%
10% -10.2% 33% -10.2%
15% -18.9% 32% -18.9%
20% -26.9% 28% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $128.06 · official $128.09 (match) · 911 history records