Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:52:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc645…1420
crypto · 426 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,704 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,704 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2,704
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses187 / 495
Open positions0
Markets (closed)682 / 426
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day243.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 682 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,033
7 days−$2,650
14 days−$2,704
30 days−$2,704
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+70%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+291%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+162%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +656%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +645%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$8 +7848%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$415
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 477 -38.5% -44.4% 20% 20% -45.5%
≤30d 682 -19.9% -27.5% 27% 27% -38.0%
≤90d 682 -19.9% -27.5% 27% 27% -38.0%
all 682 -19.9% -27.5% 27% 27% -38.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 27% -38.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 27% -43.9%
15% -40.8% 25% -49.3%
20% -46.6% 22% -54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.27 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records