Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc635…9ee6
sports · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$121 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$114
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses20 / 32
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions3
Markets (closed)52 / 55
History coverage3d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day42.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$114
14 days−$114
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 44¢ $29 $22 −$7 (-25%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 64¢ 64¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 60¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $10 +$9 +93%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $26 −$10 -37%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prima Jun 13 $20 −$1 -5%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $10 +$10 +100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $43 +$24 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $30 +$8 +28%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $10 +$15 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$28 -90%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $70 +$7 +11%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $21 −$21 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $27 +$31 +115%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 −$8 -16%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $36 +$1 +3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $20 +$11 +53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$1 -7%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $23 −$8 -36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $12 −$6 -51%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $17 −$10 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$70
other 28% −$7
crypto 10% −$42
politics 4% −$2
finance 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 88¢ $4 2m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 100¢ $5 5m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $20 8m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 83¢ $4 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $10 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 50¢ $14 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 38¢ $10 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 55¢ $10 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 59¢ $6 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 38¢ $7 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Laura Samson 54¢ $0 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 55¢ $10 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Laura Samson 45¢ $10 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $9 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 45¢ $10 3h
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prima SELL No 53¢ $19 3h
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prima BUY No 54¢ $10 3h
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prima BUY No 54¢ $10 3h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa SELL Katarzyna Kawa 99¢ $20 3h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $5 4h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 49¢ $10 4h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 56¢ $10 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 16h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 92¢ $10 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $48 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -15.7% -23.7% 38% 31% -22.4%
≤30d 52 -15.7% -23.7% 38% 31% -22.4%
≤90d 52 -15.7% -23.7% 38% 31% -22.4%
all 52 -15.7% -23.7% 38% 31% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 31% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 27% -29.9%
15% -37.7% 21% -36.6%
20% -43.8% 17% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.52 · official $45.52 (match) · 138 history records