Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:06:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc633…b4e7 sports 426 markets active 2d ago coverage 587d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$407 (-2%) realized −$407 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate38%161W / 265L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$53per market
Trades / day1.8pace
Fees−$84est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$10
14 days+$2
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 94% −$93
other 6% −$327
crypto 0% −$20
politics 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +30.4% +18.0% 55% 55% -4.4%
≤30d 16 +11.0% +0.5% 44% 44% -7.0%
≤90d 97 -10.2% -18.7% 38% 34% -12.1%
all 426 -3.5% -12.7% 38% 33% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 33% -11.1%
10% -21.1% 30% -19.6%
15% -28.7% 28% -27.4%
20% -35.7% 27% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$35 vs −$23 · ×1.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

587d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$407
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses161 / 265
Est. fees paid−$84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)426 / 426
History coverage587d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 426 Trades
no open positions (107 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $58 −$9 -15%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $19 +$28 +145%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $10 +$9 +95%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$5 +62%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $22 −$13 -60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$9 +65%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $3 +$7 +246%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$7 -71%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $4 −$3 -64%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $4 +$8 +206%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playo May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $9 −$7 -74%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner May 15 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $11 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 15 $7 +$4 +62%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $5 −$3 -60%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $10 +$10 +101%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 10 $2 −$2 -99%
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C May 10 $3 −$1 -38%
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) May 10 $1 −$1 -98%
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) May 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Apr 28 $8 −$6 -79%
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Apr 26 $8 −$7 -86%
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims) Apr 26 $5 +$7 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 22 $20 −$20 -96%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 21 $6 +$14 +216%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Apr 19 $5 −$3 -69%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $10 $0 -2%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Apr 18 $15 −$12 -85%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Apr 18 $5 +$4 +84%
Magic vs. 76ers Apr 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Apr 15 $5 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $5 +$5 +99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 14 $4 $0 -3%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 12 $10 −$10 -98%
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Apr 12 $7 −$6 -98%
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $10 +$7 +74%
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $6 +$4 +73%
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) Apr 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 27¢ $5 47h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $10 47h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 50¢ $44 47h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $27 2d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 52¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 52¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $48 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 40¢ $19 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) SELL Ciryl Gane 99¢ $19 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 50¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $14 5d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $9 5d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 15¢ $9 5d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $22 5d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $22 5d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $13 5d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $12 6d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 99¢ $16 6d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 17¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 57¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 58¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 56¢ $2 11d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL BetBoom Team 15¢ $2 11d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $4 11d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 28¢ $4 11d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P SELL Legacy 100¢ $12 24d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P BUY Legacy 32¢ $4 24d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A BUY TYLOO 33¢ $5 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1070 history records