Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc62d…74fc
sports · 59 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
−$14,551 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,551 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,551
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses25 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$1,444
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1,493
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days−$4,102
14 days−$8,974
30 days−$14,551
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 38¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 39¢ 0¢ $2,650 $0 −$2,650 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 50¢ 0¢ $1,422 $0 −$1,422 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 41¢ 0¢ $1,201 $0 −$1,201 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 64¢ 0¢ $3,506 $0 −$3,506 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Aurora 25¢ 0¢ $963 $0 −$963 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 47¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Aurora 17¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 8¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 6¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 59¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 78¢ 0¢ $3,800 $0 −$3,800 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Aurora 54¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 37¢ 0¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Aurora 51¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? No 30¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1,380 $0 −$1,380 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 24¢ 0¢ $2,950 $0 −$2,950 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Aurora 14¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 36¢ 0¢ $3,050 $0 −$3,050 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner LGD Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $3,100 $0 −$3,100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $1,762 +$1,138 +65%
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut Jun 10 $1,382 −$1,380 -100%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $921 −$900 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,162 −$3,100 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $100 +$1 +1%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1,500 +$2,203 +147%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,516 −$87 -6%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $2,029 +$1,892 +93%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1,200 +$822 +68%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $300 −$300 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $2,300 −$537 -23%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,650 −$2,650 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $706 +$1,745 +247%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3,014 −$2,950 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $3,103 −$3,050 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $3,000 −$1,500 -50%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $1,532 −$500 -33%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner May 30 $1,728 −$1,700 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $2,025 +$1,427 +70%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2,037 −$2,000 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 30 $1,516 +$738 +49%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1,521 −$1,500 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims) May 30 $1,461 −$166 -11%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $1,633 +$3,379 +207%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $3,550 −$1,500 -42%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $1,016 −$930 -92%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $512 −$196 -38%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $709 +$506 +71%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1,222 −$1,201 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $985 −$963 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $2,092 +$3,381 +162%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1,387 −$429 -31%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1,546 +$549 +36%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $604 +$941 +156%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1,442 −$1,422 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3,544 −$3,506 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $2,374 +$1,159 +49%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,015 −$593 -58%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $15 −$15 -97%
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $2,328 −$2,300 -99%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $3,825 −$3,800 -99%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,348 +$1,236 +92%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,010 +$489 +48%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $2,936 −$594 -20%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,010 +$526 +52%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $51 −$50 -97%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,012 −$6 -0%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $2,024 +$1,306 +64%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $1,021 +$399 +39%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $1,192 +$688 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$13,409
other 3% −$2,280
politics 2% +$1,138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 46¢ $831 40h
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 36¢ $324 40h
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 46¢ $93 44h
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 46¢ $9 45h
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 46¢ $9 2d
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 46¢ $70 2d
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut BUY Yes 44¢ $45 2d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 59¢ $814 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? BUY No 30¢ $91 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? BUY No 30¢ $42 3d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 62¢ $696 3d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 59¢ $57 3d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 3d
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 59¢ $191 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? BUY No 30¢ $789 3d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 33¢ $1,071 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 33¢ $2,091 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Yandex 99¢ $101 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 98¢ $100 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $3,703 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $69 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $783 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $51 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $74 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $3 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $82 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 41¢ $162 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 40¢ $62 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 40¢ $33 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 40¢ $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -6.0% -15.0% 43% 36% -26.3%
≤30d 59 -9.1% -17.8% 42% 41% -25.2%
≤90d 59 -9.1% -17.8% 42% 41% -25.2%
all 59 -9.1% -17.8% 42% 41% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 41% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 41% -32.3%
15% -32.8% 41% -38.9%
20% -39.4% 31% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 315 history records