Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T22:09:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc62a…e735 other 1600 markets active 17h ago coverage 96d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 95d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$23 (+0%) realized +$23 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%1596W / 4L
Drawdown74%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day16.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit48%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$6
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 52% +$11
sports 45% −$1
world 1% +$1
politics 1% +$1
weather 0% $0
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 380 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 761 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1456 +0.1% -9.5% 100% 1% -9.4%
all 1600 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 1% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.89 per $1 lost it wins $1.89
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

96d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1596 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1600 / 1600
History coverage96d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit48%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1600 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Jaminton Campaz: 1+ shots Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Henri Veesaar be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 24 $4 $0 +0%
Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $4 $0 +0%
José Luis Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Ivan Perišić: 1+ shots on target Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Ferguson vs. Yamanaka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Dailyn Swain be drafted with the 10th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Luka Modrić: 1+ shots Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Dr Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Will Bennett Stirtz be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will AJ Dybantsa be drafted with the 11th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Caleb Wilson be drafted with the 11th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Darryn Peterson be drafted with the 8th pick in the 2026 NBA Draf Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Caleb Wilson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Casey Mize: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Toni Fruk: 1+ shots on target Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
José Fajardo: 1+ goals + assists Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan F Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Yainer Diaz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
João Félix: 2+ shots on target Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the England vs G Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Iñaki Williams: 3+ goals + assists Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots on target Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Women Palma Del Rio: Completed Match: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 1? Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bernardo Silva: 2+ shots Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Rúben Neves: 1+ shots on target Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals + assists Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Abbosbek Fayzullayev: 1+ goals Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast hit 136 billion views by July 31? Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Poljicak vs. Nagal: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Rus vs. Podrez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs OG (+3.5) Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5) Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5) Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Zanolini vs. Barendse: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Hunter vs. Costoulas: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Honor of Kings: JLY vs LT Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 100¢ $5 17h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 100¢ $5 18h
Jaminton Campaz: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
José Luis Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Ivan Perišić: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Ferguson vs. Yamanaka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 18h
Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 18h
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 19h
Luka Modrić: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 19h
Will Henri Veesaar be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft BUY No 100¢ $5 20h
Casey Mize: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 20h
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 100¢ $5 20h
Will Dailyn Swain be drafted with the 10th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
José Fajardo: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Toni Fruk: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Will Darryn Peterson be drafted with the 8th pick in the 2026 NBA Draf BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Dr BUY No 98¢ $5 21h
Will Bennett Stirtz be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NBA Draft? BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Will AJ Dybantsa be drafted with the 11th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Will Caleb Wilson be drafted with the 11th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Will Caleb Wilson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft? BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Yainer Diaz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 22h
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan F BUY No 100¢ $5 22h
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 23h
Iñaki Williams: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
João Félix: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the England vs G BUY Yes 100¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records