Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:16:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc61d…b1a5
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Net worth$435
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses42 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)47 / 50
History coverage230d
Avg bet$620
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $251 $251 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $169 $167 −$2 (-1%)
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 12? Jun 13 $238 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 12? Jun 13 $199 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 11? Jun 12 $135 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 11? Jun 12 $215 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 11? Jun 12 $87 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 10? Jun 11 $371 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 10? Jun 11 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? Jun 10 $435 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 9? Jun 10 $178 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 9? Jun 10 $257 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 8? Jun 09 $365 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 8? Jun 09 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 7? Jun 07 $434 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 6? Jun 06 $434 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 5? Jun 06 $277 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 5? Jun 06 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 5? Jun 05 $433 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 3? Jun 04 $432 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 3? Jun 03 $432 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2? Jun 02 $432 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May? Jun 01 $430 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.80 on January 14? Jan 14 $856 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 13? Jan 13 $1,323 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 13? Jan 12 $1,321 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $150 January 5-11? Jan 12 $1,320 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.50 on January 11? Jan 11 $298 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $2.60 on January 11? Jan 11 $1,021 +$1 +0%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 5 above $295? Jan 10 $1,317 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 7? Jan 07 $1,316 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 6? Jan 06 $1,315 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on January 5? Jan 05 $1,313 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on January 4? Jan 04 $1,312 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 2? Jan 03 $1,311 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 01 $1,309 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on December 31? Dec 31 $1,308 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 30? Dec 30 $1,307 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on December 29? Dec 29 $295 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 29? Dec 29 $1,011 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $140 December 22-28? Dec 29 $1,304 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 28? Dec 28 $1,303 +$1 +0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 02 $326 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on November 1? Nov 01 $326 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $2.90 on October 31? Oct 31 $326 $0 +0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $325 $0 -0%
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Oct 30 $326 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 29 $652 $0 -0%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 27 $327 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$26
tech 4% +$1
other 3% −$1
politics 2% −$1
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $18 1h
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $251 1h
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $137 25h
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $101 25h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $150 25h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $49 25h
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $114 2d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $101 2d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $19 2d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $116 2d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 2d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $77 2d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $371 2d
Will Solana reach $75 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $65 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $435 3d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $178 3d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $257 3d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $70 4d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $365 4d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $434 6d
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 6? BUY Yes 100¢ $434 6d
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $156 7d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $277 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $433 8d
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $432 9d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $432 10d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $267 11d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $165 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 21 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 21 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 47 +0.1% -9.4% 89% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $435.37 · official $435.37 (match) · 110 history records