Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc61c…7b2f
crypto · 1155 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$728 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$736 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$736
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses707 / 447
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1154 / 1155
History coverage18d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day151.6
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days+$31
14 days+$306
30 days+$736
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$28 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$11 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$17 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$17 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$11 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$9 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$17 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$728
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 +2.3% -7.5% 59% 59% -8.8%
≤30d 1154 -1.1% -10.5% 61% 58% -7.7%
≤90d 1154 -1.1% -10.5% 61% 58% -7.7%
all 1154 -1.1% -10.5% 61% 58% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 58% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 55% -16.5%
15% -26.9% 52% -24.6%
20% -34.0% 39% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.08 · official $0.08 (match) · 3379 history records