Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:44:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc617…25e8
sports · 287 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$1,027 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$812 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$812
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses141 / 146
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$270
Open positions0
Markets (closed)287 / 287
History coverage129d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 287 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days+$37
14 days+$151
30 days+$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $36 −$2 -6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $24 −$5 -23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $115 +$86 +74%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $54 +$27 +50%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $103 −$102 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$32 +105%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $52 −$51 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$29 -73%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $366 +$36 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $484 +$120 +25%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $23 +$18 +78%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $58 −$57 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $52 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 −$2 -5%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $55 −$3 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $48 −$48 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $55 +$36 +65%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $135 +$38 +28%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $56 −$56 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 +$24 +48%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $65 −$25 -39%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $58 +$43 +73%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $72 +$29 +40%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $10 +$10 +98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $63 +$38 +60%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $82 +$19 +23%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $252 +$50 +20%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $14 +$16 +111%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $84 +$17 +20%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $59 +$41 +70%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 02 $146 +$55 +37%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $56 +$46 +83%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $64 −$64 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $48 +$54 +114%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $63 −$63 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $58 −$58 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonseca Jun 02 $116 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $57 +$44 +76%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $58 +$43 +73%
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Osaka Jun 01 $19 +$11 +56%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo Jun 01 $62 +$39 +62%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Cobolli vs. Svajda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 01 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$589
other 22% +$194
crypto 16% +$14
politics 13% +$39
world 6% −$21
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 43¢ $34 57m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 47¢ $19 57m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 59¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 57¢ $57 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 57¢ $58 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $103 24h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $10 24h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 66¢ $54 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $30 43h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $52 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 30¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 80¢ $40 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 91¢ $366 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $237 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 63¢ $38 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 63¢ $199 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $42 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $84 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $121 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $40 3d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $58 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 57¢ $12 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 62¢ $25 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 54¢ $11 3d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL FlyQuest 46¢ $51 7d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 49¢ $49 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL G2 52¢ $52 7d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 31¢ $32 7d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 50¢ $9 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -20.4% -28.0% 43% 36% -6.0%
≤30d 115 -8.9% -17.6% 50% 37% -8.5%
≤90d 175 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 37% -6.6%
all 287 -1.2% -10.6% 49% 35% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 35% -7.2%
10% -19.1% 32% -16.1%
15% -26.9% 30% -24.2%
20% -34.1% 28% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2049 history records