Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:19:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc617…8034 crypto 791 markets active 1h ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,635 (-11%) realized −$5,635 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate49%389W / 402L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$63per market
Trades / day14.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$220
7 days−$1,248
14 days−$2,353
30 days−$4,117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6,391
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 278 -5.2% -14.2% 50% 50% -17.4%
≤30d 620 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 50% -20.9%
≤90d 791 -7.4% -16.2% 49% 49% -21.3%
all 791 -7.4% -16.2% 49% 49% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 49% -21.3%
10% -24.2% 49% -28.8%
15% -31.5% 48% -35.7%
20% -38.2% 46% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -7% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$51 vs −$65 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,635
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses389 / 402
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)791 / 791
History coverage63d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 791 Trades
no open positions (352 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$21 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$54 +259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$44 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $82 +$31 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$17 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$36 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $21 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1358 history records