Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:03:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
C6 0xc60d…2fe5 politics 3 markets active 6h ago coverage 25d
RISKYcopy with care politics specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,336 (-95%) realized −$1,336 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -98% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -98% what you keep after slip
Net edge-98%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$467per market
Trades / day0.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 25d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 100% −$1,350
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-98.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -97.0% -97.3% 0% 0% -98.3%
≤30d 3 -98.0% -98.2% 0% 0% -98.7%
≤90d 3 -98.0% -98.2% 0% 0% -98.7%
all 3 -98.0% -98.2% 0% 0% -98.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -98.2% 0% -98.7%
10% -98.4% 0% -98.8%
15% -98.5% 0% -98.9%
20% -98.7% 0% -99.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -98% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -98% · $-wt -98% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
6.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$450 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,336
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage25d
Avg bet$467
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election Jun 19 $332 −$312 -94%
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? Jun 19 $738 −$719 -98%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 10 $331 −$319 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election SELL Yes 0¢ $20 5h
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 9¢ $47 6h
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 9¢ $52 6h
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 1¢ $14 7h
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 12¢ $52 7h
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 17¢ $52 7h
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 1¢ $1 10h
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 1¢ $5 10h
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 2¢ $104 33h
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 1¢ $1 33h
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 36¢ $205 39h
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 54¢ $227 7d
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY Yes 2¢ $52 8d
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 7¢ $52 8d
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? BUY Yes 40¢ $102 8d
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY Yes 3¢ $67 13d
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY Yes 6¢ $156 13d
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY Yes 4¢ $104 16d
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY Yes 6¢ $108 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records