trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BetBoom Team | 12¢ | 6¢ | $11 | $5 | −$6 (-54%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Netherlands | 9¢ | 8¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Magic | 24¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 | Over | 19¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 7¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 13¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Timberwolves | 23¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 28¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | 76ers | 29¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Celtics | 27¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 25¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Hawks | 32¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Timberwolves | 22¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Cavaliers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$12 | +442% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $3 | +$5 | +172% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$11 | +276% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$9 | +596% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$9 | +165% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 16 | $30 | −$20 | -66% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $5 | +$21 | +414% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $5 | +$31 | +596% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | May 03 | $2 | +$4 | +216% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 03 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 03 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $20 | +$49 | +238% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 03 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $20 | +$31 | +152% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $10 | +$23 | +223% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 01 | $5 | +$12 | +226% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $5 | +$22 | +442% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +207.5% | +178.2% | 71% | 71% | +174.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +173.4% | +147.4% | 62% | 62% | +29.8% |
| ≤90d | 37 | +48.5% | +34.4% | 35% | 35% | +7.6% |
| all | 37 | +48.5% | +34.4% | 35% | 35% | +7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +34.4% | 35% | +7.6% |
| 10% | +21.5% | 35% | -2.7% |
| 15% | +9.8% | 35% | -12.1% |
| 20% | -1.0% | 35% | -20.7% |