Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:17:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc608…cd4a crypto 22 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate41%9W / 13L
Drawdown25%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day64.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$544
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +30.8% +18.3% 41% 41% +39.1%
≤30d 22 +30.8% +18.3% 41% 41% +39.1%
≤90d 22 +30.8% +18.3% 41% 41% +39.1%
all 22 +30.8% +18.3% 41% 41% +39.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.3% 41% +39.1%
10% ← realistic here +7.0% 41% +25.8%
15% -3.3% 41% +13.6%
20% -12.8% 41% +2.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 51% · top 2 63% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +54% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +31% · $-wt +54% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -41% → late +102% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$93 vs −$23 · ×4.11 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.85 per $1 lost it wins $2.85
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses9 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 22 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$15 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$30 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$65 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$104 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$90 +895%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $20 +$39 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$42 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $450 +$429 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 23 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 23 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$26 +122%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $27 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 74 history records