Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc603…3220
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$728 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$762 · open +$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$573
Realized−$762
Unrealized+$31
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses62 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions22
Markets (closed)73 / 95
History coverage119d
Avg bet$129
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 22 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$49
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No 88¢ 99¢ $52 $59 +$7 (+13%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 92¢ $56 $54 −$2 (-4%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 87¢ $46 $44 −$2 (-4%)
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 99¢ 96¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 96¢ 99¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 82¢ 85¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+4%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June? No 74¢ 95¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+27%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June? No 81¢ 99¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+22%)
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 81¢ 80¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana reach $120 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $24 +$0 (+1%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 56¢ 77¢ $16 $23 +$6 (+38%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June? No 83¢ 94¢ $20 $22 +$3 (+14%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June? No 77¢ 94¢ $18 $22 +$4 (+21%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 95¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 92¢ 79¢ $22 $19 −$3 (-14%)
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 73¢ 74¢ $18 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? No 64¢ 90¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+40%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 78¢ 86¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 91¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No 93¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 80¢ 93¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 09 $55 +$3 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 02 $39 +$15 +39%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? Jun 02 $54 +$4 +7%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 01 $56 +$3 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? Jun 01 $59 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 01 $37 +$7 +19%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 01 $56 +$9 +17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? Jun 01 $13 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 01 $28 +$2 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $27 +$3 +12%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? Jun 01 $49 +$1 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 29 $58 +$1 +2%
Will Solana reach $110 in April? May 01 $6 $0 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? May 01 $10 +$1 +13%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? May 01 $10 +$2 +22%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? May 01 $51 +$3 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? May 01 $56 +$3 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? May 01 $57 +$2 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? May 01 $55 +$5 +9%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April? May 01 $30 +$3 +9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? May 01 $55 +$4 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? May 01 $13 $0 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? May 01 $10 +$3 +29%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? May 01 $30 +$4 +14%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? May 01 $57 +$6 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? May 01 $19 +$1 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? May 01 $56 +$3 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A Apr 06 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 06 $555 −$555 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group S Apr 05 $555 +$95 +17%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 05 $345 +$54 +16%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $555 +$66 +12%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gr Apr 04 $777 +$174 +22%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl Apr 03 $555 +$189 +34%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of B Apr 03 $233 −$56 -24%
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Play Apr 02 $400 −$400 -100%
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs Apr 02 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 01 $345 −$345 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Apr 01 $555 −$555 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 01 $40 −$22 -55%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? Apr 01 $47 +$4 +8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? Apr 01 $10 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? Apr 01 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? Apr 01 $18 $0 +2%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March? Apr 01 $29 +$1 +2%
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March? Apr 01 $19 +$5 +28%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? Apr 01 $12 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? Apr 01 $11 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$860
crypto 11% +$98
finance 6% +$13
other 2% +$5
tech 0% +$7
economics 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $5 24m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $5 24m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 27m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 32m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 34m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 39m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $6 39m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 40m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 40m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $5 41m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $4 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 46m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 54m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 54m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $5 54m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $2 54m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 54m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +6.0% -4.1% 100% 0% -4.1%
≤30d 12 +9.9% -0.5% 100% 33% -1.0%
≤90d 68 -4.4% -13.5% 84% 32% -17.2%
all 73 -1.9% -11.3% 85% 37% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 37% -15.4%
10% -19.7% 15% -23.5%
15% -27.5% 7% -30.9%
20% -34.6% 0% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $573.02 · official $573.02 (match) · 326 history records