Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5ff…abd0
sports · 933 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,104 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$1,131
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,136
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$1,131
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses433 / 492
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$2,338
Open positions8
Markets (closed)925 / 933
History coverage70d
Avg bet$179
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 8 History 925 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,740
7 days−$2,111
14 days−$2,722
30 days−$1,677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 55¢ 100¢ $518 $942 +$424 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 32¢ 86¢ $247 $660 +$413 (+167%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner B8 28¢ 100¢ $155 $555 +$399 (+257%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 32¢ 78¢ $178 $436 +$258 (+145%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 48¢ 50¢ $266 $275 +$8 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner B8 38¢ 40¢ $253 $263 +$10 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 28¢ 60¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+112%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $385 $0 −$385 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $687 +$423 +62%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $259 +$296 +114%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $321 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $166 −$166 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $652 −$652 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $675 −$675 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $271 +$284 +105%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $323 +$81 +25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $588 +$263 +45%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $240 −$240 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $694 −$694 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $677 +$1,525 +225%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $360 −$360 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $309 −$309 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $331 −$331 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $293 −$293 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $553 −$553 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $68 +$25 +37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $283 +$272 +96%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $176 +$157 +89%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $272 +$283 +104%
Game Handicap: BTR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+1.5) Jun 12 $226 +$316 +140%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Gam Jun 12 $183 +$139 +76%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $257 −$257 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $186 −$186 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $274 −$274 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $663 −$281 -42%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $514 −$514 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $506 −$506 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $714 +$548 +77%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $534 +$301 +56%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $372 +$183 +49%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $186 +$479 +257%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $346 −$346 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $377 −$377 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $759 −$207 -27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $321 +$170 +53%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $294 +$160 +54%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $374 −$373 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $163 −$163 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 11 $161 −$161 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $186 −$186 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $147 −$147 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $336 +$280 +83%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $196 +$76 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$341
politics 6% $0
other 3% +$687
world 0% +$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 38¢ $258 44m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 32¢ $181 49m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 28¢ $159 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 28¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 32¢ $252 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $220 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $3 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $8 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $41 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $8 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $24 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $8 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $10 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $41 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $7 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $14 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $33 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $68 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $16 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $11 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 55¢ $6 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $315 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $369 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $3 4h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 48¢ $266 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL FUT Esports 55¢ $13 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL FUT Esports 55¢ $5 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL FUT Esports 55¢ $309 6h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 50¢ $263 6h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -8.2% -17.0% 44% 43% -15.6%
≤30d 433 -1.4% -10.8% 46% 45% -11.2%
≤90d 925 -0.3% -9.8% 47% 45% -9.5%
all 925 -0.3% -9.8% 47% 45% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 45% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 44% -18.2%
15% -26.3% 41% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 38% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,136.36 · official $3,136.36 (match) · 3500 history records