Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:36:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc5f9…18c7 crypto 182 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$10 (+1%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate72%131W / 51L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day70.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$14
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +1.6% -8.1% 70% 36% -11.2%
≤30d 182 +3.9% -6.0% 72% 41% -9.6%
≤90d 182 +3.9% -6.0% 72% 41% -9.6%
all 182 +3.9% -6.0% 72% 41% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.0% 41% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 19% -18.2%
15% -23.2% 8% -26.1%
20% -30.8% 4% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses131 / 51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)182 / 182
History coverage9d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 182 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $32 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 841 history records