Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5f5…7784
crypto · 250 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses137 / 112
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)249 / 250
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 0¢ 54¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 0¢ 46¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$12
sports 2% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -2.6% -11.9% 55% 46% -11.9%
≤30d 249 -3.1% -12.3% 55% 45% -12.2%
≤90d 249 -3.1% -12.3% 55% 45% -12.2%
all 249 -3.1% -12.3% 55% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 45% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 37% -20.6%
15% -28.3% 29% -28.3%
20% -35.4% 24% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.20 · official $1.20 (match) · 685 history records