Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5f4…918f
sports · 28 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$56 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$36
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses15 / 8
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)23 / 28
History coverage9d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$42
14 days+$52
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Under 47¢ 89¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+89%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 51¢ 52¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 77¢ 76¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 48¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 56¢ 40¢ $5 $4 −$2 (-29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $7 +$7 +93%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $7 +$9 +129%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 +$10 +69%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 +$28 +276%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn Jun 09 $5 +$4 +76%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $5 +$3 +54%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 07 $5 +$3 +52%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $5 +$6 +109%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $5 +$3 +67%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $5 +$3 +66%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 +$3 +61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $5 +$4 +77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% +$40
crypto 15% +$7
other 8% +$10
politics 3% −$5
tech 3% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 77¢ $7 56m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 47¢ $6 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $7 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 43¢ $7 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 56¢ $5 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 52¢ $7 2h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 48¢ $7 2h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 57¢ $6 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 59¢ $7 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $7 8h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 51¢ $7 28h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 51¢ $5 3d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 44¢ $5 4d
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $5 4d
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? SELL Yes 88¢ $8 5d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 5d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 5d
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty L BUY Paris Gentle Mates 28¢ $5 5d
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty L BUY Paris Gentle Mates 28¢ $5 5d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? SELL Yes 90¢ $8 5d
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 5d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $5 7d
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of SELL Riyadh Falcons 99¢ $8 7d
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn BUY No 56¢ $5 7d
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of BUY Riyadh Falcons 59¢ $5 7d
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? BUY No 55¢ $5 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire BUY Phoenix Mercury 47¢ $5 7d
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks BUY Dallas Wings 59¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +20.9% +9.3% 60% 60% +20.1%
≤30d 23 +27.0% +14.9% 65% 65% +23.6%
≤90d 23 +27.0% +14.9% 65% 65% +23.6%
all 23 +27.0% +14.9% 65% 65% +23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.9% 65% +23.6%
10% +3.9% 65% +11.7%
15% -6.1% 65% +0.9%
20% -15.3% 65% -8.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.72 · official $35.72 (match) · 54 history records