Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5e6…2d79
crypto · 394 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,100 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$637 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$637
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses300 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)394 / 394
History coverage5d
Avg bet$187
Trades / day641.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$119
7 days−$637
14 days−$637
30 days−$637
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $380 +$20 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $218 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$24 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $71 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $172 +$38 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $220 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $192 +$25 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $195 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $279 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $235 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $298 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $406 +$44 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$22 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$26 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $326 +$25 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$55 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $211 −$106 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $172 +$26 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $291 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $232 +$27 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $71 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $222 +$33 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $354 +$83 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $131 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $341 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $133 +$21 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $190 −$16 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $412 +$25 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $281 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $284 −$73 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $444 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $152 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $132 +$44 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $352 +$38 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $486 −$486 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $491 +$30 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$24 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $305 +$25 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $533 +$101 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $193 +$19 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $392 +$26 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $307 −$103 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$6 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$738
other 1% +$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $13 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $52 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $93 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $40 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $83 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $41 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $131 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $37 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 394 +0.9% -8.7% 76% 31% -10.3%
≤30d 394 +0.9% -8.7% 76% 31% -10.3%
≤90d 394 +0.9% -8.7% 76% 31% -10.3%
all 394 +0.9% -8.7% 76% 31% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover641.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 31% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 9% -18.9%
15% -25.4% 3% -26.7%
20% -32.7% 2% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records