Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:33:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C5 0xc5dc…7cf2 sports 237 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ bot/MM pace (79 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$1,923 (+0%) realized +$1,923 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate79%219W / 58L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown25%max
Avg bet$8,003per market
Trades / day78.8pace
Fees−$125est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$835
7 days−$725
14 days−$363
30 days+$543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$4,614
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (79 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -56.6% -60.8% 40% 6% -10.0%
≤30d 216 -18.0% -25.8% 76% 7% -9.5%
≤90d 277 -14.9% -23.0% 79% 6% -9.4%
all 277 -14.9% -23.0% 79% 6% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 6% -9.4%
10% -30.4% 3% -18.0%
15% ← realistic here -37.1% 2% -25.9%
20% -43.3% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 41% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$9,638) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
13.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$34 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.77 per $1 lost it wins $2.77
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,923
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses219 / 58
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)277 / 237
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$8,003
Trades / day78.8
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 277 Trades
no open positions (50 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fa Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 17 $26 −$45 -170%
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbert Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensik Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Dallas Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Mexican Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Patrick Kypson Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Jun 17 $3 −$4 -146%
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Filip Misolic Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda Jun 17 $7 −$11 -143%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Pa Jun 17 $220 −$220 -100%
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shang Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Jun 17 $1 −$61 -5011%
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubas Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Dino Prizmic Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor Jun 17 $85 −$85 -100%
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 17 $2 −$4 -209%
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Jun 17 $1 −$4 -283%
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 17 $4 −$4 -117%
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper Jun 17 $11 −$14 -130%
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Jun 17 $0 −$1 -117%
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 17 $1 $0 +38%
Brisbane International: Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 17 $2 −$3 -148%
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoor Jun 17 $29 −$34 -117%
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Jun 17 $3 −$3 -110%
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrov Jun 17 $3 −$3 -92%
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 17 $51 −$32 -63%
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Radu David Turcanu Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 17 $366 −$374 -102%
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova Jun 17 $5,726 +$176 +3%
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva Jun 17 $4,234 +$4 +0%
Asuncion 2: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 17 $418 +$26 +6%
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Ristic Jun 17 $823 +$1 +0%
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Francisco Cerundolo Jun 17 $4,918 +$11 +0%
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Jun 17 $22,200 +$22 +0%
Asuncion 2: Samuel Heredia vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 16 $144 +$11 +7%
Asuncion 2: Hernando Escurra vs Hernan Casanova Jun 16 $1,920 +$7 +0%
Parma: Ilia Simakin vs Jacopo Vasami Jun 16 $3,628 +$14 +0%
Asuncion 2: Ignacio Parisca vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 16 $5,080 +$5 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $8 33m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $49 40m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $66 46m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $35 50m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $1,207 52m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $2,281 52m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $301 53m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $2 53m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $153 53m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $48 53m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 100¢ $315 53m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova SELL Juan Estevez 98¢ $431 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $96 1h
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 94¢ $626 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $5 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $8 1h
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 86¢ $6 1h
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 86¢ $163 1h
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 86¢ $88 1h
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 86¢ $29 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $5 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $100 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $2,491 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $50 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $53 1h
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova BUY Juan Estevez 78¢ $349 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $3 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $10 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $1,126 1h
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gonzalo Villanueva BUY Gonzalo Villanueva 100¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records