Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:29:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5db…8923
politics · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses29 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage386d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $29 −$1 -4%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $30 −$1 -2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 09 $29 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Aug 19 $12 $0 -3%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 17 $4 $0 -0%
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Aug 17 $33 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? Aug 17 $2 −$1 -38%
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 17 $18 $0 +0%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Aug 17 $8 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 17 $6 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? Aug 16 $1 $0 +0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? Aug 16 $5 $0 -1%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 16 $6 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? Aug 16 $7 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Aug 16 $28 $0 +0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Aug 15 $27 $0 -0%
Bitcoin above $117000 on August 15? Aug 15 $5 $0 +3%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Aug 15 $1 $0 +4%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? Aug 15 $1 $0 +2%
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Aug 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Aug 14 $22 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 14 $8 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Aug 14 $13 $0 +0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Aug 14 $1 $0 -14%
Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 14 $11 $0 +0%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Aug 13 $37 $0 +0%
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Aug 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 13 $38 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in August? Aug 13 $17 $0 -0%
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? Aug 13 $23 $0 -2%
Will XRP reach $5.40 in August? Aug 13 $1 $0 -29%
Will the highest temperature in London be 82°F or below on August 12? Aug 13 $9 $0 +1%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Aug 12 $16 $0 -1%
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Aug 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Aug 12 $37 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? Aug 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? Aug 12 $24 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 10 $23 $0 +0%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 10 $23 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4? Aug 10 $23 +$1 +5%
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? Jul 01 $22 $0 +1%
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? Jun 26 $9 $0 +5%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Jun 23 $7 $0 +0%
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Jun 22 $7 $0 -2%
Will India invade Pakistan before July? Jun 21 $7 $0 +3%
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 05 $41 −$8 -20%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 04 $8 $0 +2%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? Jun 03 $6 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 36% −$8
other 22% $0
world 17% $0
sports 10% $0
tech 5% −$1
crypto 5% $0
economics 3% $0
culture 1% $0
weather 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 81¢ $27 22m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 81¢ $2 22m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 84¢ $29 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $29 6h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $30 9h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 83¢ $12 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 83¢ $18 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL No 81¢ $30 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 78¢ $29 33h
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL Yes 67¢ $29 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY Yes 67¢ $29 4d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 298d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 298d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 299d
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL No 96¢ $18 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 299d
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest? BUY No 96¢ $15 299d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 300d
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 300d
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 96¢ $14 300d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 11¢ $3 300d
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 96¢ $14 300d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 11¢ $3 300d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.1% -9.6% 40% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 5 -0.1% -9.6% 40% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 5 -0.1% -9.6% 40% 0% -9.6%
all 67 -2.6% -11.9% 43% 0% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 0% -10.4%
10% -20.3% 0% -19.0%
15% -28.0% 0% -26.8%
20% -35.1% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 237 history records