Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:39:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc5c9…146f crypto 1707 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$99 (+0%) realized +$99 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1683W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day58.6pace
Kalshi-fit63%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$296
7 days−$480
14 days−$399
30 days−$321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 64% +$224
other 36% −$268
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 -6.3% -15.2% 92% 1% -13.1%
≤30d 1637 -0.8% -10.2% 98% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 1720 -0.8% -10.2% 98% 1% -10.0%
all 1720 -0.8% -10.2% 98% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$34 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1683 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1720 / 1707
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$38
Trades / day58.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1720 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $46 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $38 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $28 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$3 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $29 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $36 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records