Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5c1…258d
sports · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses39 / 20
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions5
Markets (closed)59 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day319.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 5 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$60
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 64¢ 52¢ $40 $33 −$7 (-18%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 68¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 55¢ 40¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-26%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+94%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $35 +$1 +3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 −$27 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$2 +21%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $10 −$4 -41%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $15 −$3 -20%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $60 +$3 +6%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 14 $20 −$2 -11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $40 −$6 -14%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $25 +$10 +39%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +61%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $20 −$2 -12%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$63
other 18% −$11
crypto 6% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 55m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 69¢ $5 57m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 69¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 64¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 60¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 91¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 92¢ $6 1h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 90¢ $6 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 80¢ $6 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 76¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -7.4% -16.2% 66% 51% -16.9%
≤30d 59 -7.4% -16.2% 66% 51% -16.9%
≤90d 59 -7.4% -16.2% 66% 51% -16.9%
all 59 -7.4% -16.2% 66% 51% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover319.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 51% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 10% -24.8%
15% -31.5% 7% -32.1%
20% -38.2% 5% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.74 · official $46.74 (match) · 371 history records