Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:38:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc5ae…1144 crypto 742 markets active 6d ago coverage 43d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 42d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,218 (+0%) realized +$1,218 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%361W / 381L
Whale WR47%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$580per market
Trades / day62.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 43d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$37,100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.0% -9.6% 50% 50% +16.9%
≤30d 99 +6.3% -3.9% 51% 51% -5.0%
≤90d 742 -2.6% -11.9% 49% 48% -17.3%
all 742 -2.6% -11.9% 49% 48% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 48% -17.3%
10% -20.3% 47% -25.2%
15% ← realistic here -28.0% 45% -32.5%
20% -35.1% 41% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 47% (≥$726) neutral
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$515 vs −$585 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,218
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses361 / 381
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)742 / 742
History coverage43d ⚠
Avg bet$580
Trades / day62.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 742 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$36 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $208 +$245 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $426 +$558 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $110 +$231 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 07 $175 +$207 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 07 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 07 $105 +$142 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $105 −$92 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 07 $31 +$17 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 07 $105 +$199 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $73 −$51 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $125 +$216 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 06 $103 +$78 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 01 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 01 $208 +$292 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 31 $52 +$45 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 31 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 31 $52 +$40 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 31 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 31 $104 +$172 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 31 $177 +$262 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 31 $154 +$83 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 31 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 31 $105 +$240 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 31 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 31 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 31 $72 +$89 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 23 $211 −$211 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 23 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 20 $470 −$470 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 20 $185 −$185 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 20 $258 −$258 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 20 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 20 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 20 $102 +$46 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 20 $207 +$186 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 20 $260 −$260 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 20 $260 +$296 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 20 $208 −$147 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 20 $829 +$851 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 20 $623 −$623 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $219 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $52 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $62 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $52 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $53 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $52 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $341 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $72 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $18 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $52 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records