Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5ab…8bca
crypto · 406 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,265 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,234 · open +$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$124
Realized+$1,234
Unrealized+$31
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses179 / 226
Open positions1
Markets (closed)405 / 406
History coverage20d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day163.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 405 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$695
7 days+$1,650
14 days+$1,707
30 days+$1,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 53¢ 72¢ $93 $124 +$31 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $213 +$130 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $232 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $166 +$157 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $198 +$305 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$23 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$198 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $270 −$68 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $89 −$89 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$58 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $206 −$202 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$14 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$97 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $118 +$88 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $283 +$223 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $106 +$66 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$39 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$84 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$62 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$48 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $148 −$144 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$60 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $92 −$88 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$180 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$101 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$18 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $151 −$147 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$168 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$63 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $170 +$116 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $97 +$83 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$31 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $107 +$81 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,265
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $53 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $19 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 +15.6% +4.6% 44% 38% +0.4%
≤30d 405 -0.6% -10.1% 44% 40% -5.7%
≤90d 405 -0.6% -10.1% 44% 40% -5.7%
all 405 -0.6% -10.1% 44% 40% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover163.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 40% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 37% -14.7%
15% -26.5% 33% -23.0%
20% -33.7% 27% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.41 · official $77.43 · 3500 history records