Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5aa…3e2c
crypto · 133 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses82 / 50
Open positions1
Markets (closed)132 / 133
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 49¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 23 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 23 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 23 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 23 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 23 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 23 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 23 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 23 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 23 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 23 $3 −$1 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -5.8% -14.8% 62% 53% -6.5%
≤30d 132 -5.7% -14.7% 62% 48% -9.6%
≤90d 132 -5.7% -14.7% 62% 48% -9.6%
all 132 -5.7% -14.7% 62% 48% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 48% -9.6%
10% -22.8% 34% -18.2%
15% -30.3% 22% -26.1%
20% -37.1% 15% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.40 · official $0.91 (match) · 316 history records