trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 98¢ | $53 | $110 | +$58 (+110%) |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela | Italy | 43¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 6¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 25¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners | New York Yankees | 49¢ | 0¢ | $264 | $0 | −$264 (-100%) |
| Final Stage: Canada vs. USA | Canada | 12¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Dominican Rep. | 39¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $39 | +$14 | +36% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $100 | −$61 | -61% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners | Mar 31 | $266 | −$264 | -99% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 29 | $66 | +$133 | +202% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Mar 29 | $120 | +$13 | +11% |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Mar 29 | $67 | +$52 | +78% |
| New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants | Mar 29 | $46 | +$21 | +45% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Mar 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Mar 28 | $29 | +$22 | +78% |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 28 | $59 | −$6 | -10% |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Mar 26 | $12 | +$14 | +113% |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | Mar 23 | $11 | +$1 | +11% |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela | Mar 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Mar 16 | $29 | −$7 | -23% |
| Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela | Mar 15 | $17 | +$5 | +28% |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico | Mar 14 | $11 | +$6 | +59% |
| Final Stage: Canada vs. USA | Mar 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei | Mar 08 | $110 | +$336 | +306% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -12.2% | -20.6% | 50% | 50% | -39.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -12.2% | -20.6% | 50% | 50% | -39.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 56% | 56% | -20.1% |
| all | 19 | +10.8% | +0.3% | 58% | 58% | +13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.3% | 58% | +13.1% |
| 10% | -9.3% | 47% | +2.3% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 42% | -7.6% |
| 20% | -26.1% | 32% | -16.7% |