Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:45:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc59c…d50f crypto 23 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$1 (+1%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate48%11W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day80.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-24.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -17.0% -24.9% 48% 17% -11.9%
≤30d 23 -17.0% -24.9% 48% 17% -11.9%
≤90d 23 -17.0% -24.9% 48% 17% -11.9%
all 23 -17.0% -24.9% 48% 17% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.9% 17% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -32.1% 9% -20.4%
15% -38.6% 4% -28.1%
20% -44.6% 4% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 56% · top 2 66% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
64% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses11 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day80.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 23 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 80 history records