Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:05:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc599…b1d2 crypto 199 markets active 2d ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (247 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,217 (+16%) realized +$3,217 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate50%100W / 102L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day247.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 14d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$712
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (247 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -20.1% -27.7% 51% 38% -19.3%
≤30d 202 -6.2% -15.1% 50% 39% -14.3%
≤90d 202 -6.2% -15.1% 50% 39% -14.3%
all 202 -6.2% -15.1% 50% 39% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover247.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 39% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 34% -22.5%
15% -30.6% 28% -30.0%
20% -37.4% 23% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
16.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$45 vs −$54 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses100 / 102
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)202 / 199
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$100
Trades / day247.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 202 Trades
no open positions (62 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $228 −$246 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $222 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $152 +$70 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $112 −$107 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $79 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $140 −$133 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $244 +$132 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $93 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $122 −$117 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $181 −$170 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $304 −$294 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $306 +$148 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $58 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $826 +$135 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $422 +$124 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $538 −$7 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $295 −$285 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $238 +$53 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $577 −$292 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $406 −$345 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $259 −$63 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $238 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $201 +$44 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $206 +$244 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$21 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $204 +$55 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $213 +$88 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $306 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $192 +$122 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$29 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $116 +$81 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $66 −$49 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 07 $135 −$122 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $36 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 07 $18 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 07 $36 −$34 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 07 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 07 $13 +$18 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 07 $80 −$21 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $7 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $26 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $24 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $18 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $8 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $24 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $7 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $36 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $186 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $47 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $42 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $30 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $31 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records