trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -25.4% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -32.6% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -39.2% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 25 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 15 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 14 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 10 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 21 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jul 11 | $0 | $0 | -27% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 08 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | May 14 | $0 | $0 | -46% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship? | May 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025? | Dec 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 04 | $360 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025? | Dec 04 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Manchester United wins the Premier League? | Dec 04 | $77 | $0 | -0% |