trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $1 | +$6 | +585% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $1 | +$10 | +947% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $8 | +$15 | +187% |
| Will Indiana Pacers receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Dra | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $7 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 03 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? | May 03 | $1 | +$2 | +206% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $21 | −$12 | -56% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 26 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $6 | +$11 | +191% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Apr 24 | $5 | +$7 | +136% |
| NBA: Co-Rookie of the Year winners? | Apr 24 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $5 | +$10 | +197% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs? | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 09 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”? | Apr 06 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 82¢ | $18 | 36m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 20¢ | $1 | 37m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 20¢ | $1 | 37m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 54¢ | $3 | 44m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 24¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 15¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 18¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 22¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 28¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 16¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 18¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 20¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 21¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 27¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 21¢ | $1 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Spurs | 71¢ | $7 | 8d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 10¢ | $1 | 8d |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 4¢ | $5 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 2¢ | $1 | 14d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 3¢ | $1 | 14d |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $5 | 14d |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY Cavaliers | 8¢ | $1 | 21d |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 17¢ | $5 | 22d |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY Cavaliers | 5¢ | $1 | 23d |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | SELL Knicks | 22¢ | $11 | 25d |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 2¢ | $1 | 25d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 13¢ | $1 | 32d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | SELL Lakers | 45¢ | $10 | 32d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 9¢ | $2 | 32d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | SELL Lakers | 48¢ | $13 | 32d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +92.5% | +74.2% | 22% | 22% | -15.4% |
| ≤90d | 38 | +39.7% | +26.4% | 29% | 26% | -16.7% |
| all | 38 | +39.7% | +26.4% | 29% | 26% | -16.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +26.4% | 26% | -16.7% |
| 10% | +14.3% | 26% | -24.7% |
| 15% | +3.3% | 26% | -31.9% |
| 20% | -6.8% | 26% | -38.6% |