Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:09:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C5 0xc593…18eb crypto 785 markets active 4d ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (197 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$297 (-6%) realized −$297 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +70% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +31% what you keep after slip
Net edge+31%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate42%363W / 511L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day196.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$39now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,235
7 days−$2,227
14 days−$2,149
30 days−$2,236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (197 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+54.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 +147.1% +123.6% 28% 27% -82.0%
≤30d 874 +70.5% +54.2% 42% 37% -39.3%
≤90d 874 +70.5% +54.2% 42% 37% -39.3%
all 874 +70.5% +54.2% 42% 37% -39.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover196.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +54.2% 37% -39.3%
10% ← realistic here +39.5% 32% -45.1%
15% +26.0% 26% -50.4%
20% +13.7% 21% -55.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -36% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +70% · $-wt -36% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +35% → late +106% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.3 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$39
Realized−$297
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses363 / 511
Open positions0
Markets (closed)874 / 785
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day196.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 874 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$6 +883%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$16 -173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +1680%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$4 +690%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$5 +1488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$5 +3960%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -632%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$8 +6210%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$9 +7925%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +1098%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$4 -1358%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +2311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +1655%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$5 +1740%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +1454%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +2059%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$4 -2346%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +1486%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +1090%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +476%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +1503%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +2039%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +1327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +1880%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -740%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +2794%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +1012%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$7 +4915%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$6 +6514%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$4 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +1408%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +2121%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$9 +7395%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.61 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records