Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc58f…ed9f
crypto · 68 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses23 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage58d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days−$0
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 24 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 23 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 23 $1 +$3 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 22 $1 +$5 +446%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 16 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 16 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 16 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET May 16 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 16 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 16 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 16 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 16 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 16 $2 +$3 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 15 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 15 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 15 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 14 $8 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 14 $14 +$10 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 13 $5 +$10 +180%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 13 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 13 $8 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 13 $18 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 12 $28 −$19 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 12 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 12 $39 −$5 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $8 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $4 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +176.8% +150.4% 67% 67% +30.0%
≤30d 36 +9.2% -1.2% 39% 39% -34.1%
≤90d 68 -12.9% -21.2% 34% 34% -23.6%
all 68 -12.9% -21.2% 34% 34% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.2% 34% -23.6%
10% -28.7% 32% -31.0%
15% -35.6% 26% -37.6%
20% -41.9% 24% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 193 history records