Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc588…bc71
other · 35 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$11 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses6 / 29
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage250d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 0 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 29 $11 $0 -1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? May 29 $9 $0 +0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $11 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee May 29 $13 $0 -0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 02 $7 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Apr 02 $7 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? Mar 26 $7 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Mar 26 $7 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Mar 24 $7 $0 +2%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 23 $6 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Mar 23 $6 $0 +7%
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 03 $486 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Mar 03 $25 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? Mar 03 $352 −$1 -0%
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? Mar 03 $56 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 03 $106 $0 -0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Feb 20 $1,066 −$1 -0%
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? Feb 20 $141 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Feb 20 $322 $0 -0%
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? Feb 20 $796 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jan 16 $8 $0 -0%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 m Jan 16 $71 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? Jan 16 $12 $0 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 16 $67 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? Jan 10 $27 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January? Jan 10 $69 $0 -0%
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jan 10 $15 $0 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 10 $26 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jan 10 $41 $0 -0%
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Dec 16 $5 $0 -0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican? Dec 16 $6 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Dec 16 $5 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? Oct 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% −$2
economics 39% −$2
other 13% +$1
politics 3% $0
crypto 3% −$8
world 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 75¢ $5 1h
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 96¢ $11 15d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? SELL No 99¢ $9 15d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $11 15d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee SELL No 96¢ $13 15d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $11 15d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $9 15d
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 98¢ $11 15d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY No 96¢ $13 15d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 96¢ $7 73d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 96¢ $7 73d
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $7 80d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? SELL No 98¢ $7 80d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? BUY No 98¢ $7 80d
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $7 81d
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $7 81d
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $7 83d
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL No 96¢ $6 83d
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 97¢ $6 83d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $6 102d
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL No 99¢ $486 102d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 99¢ $25 102d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 99¢ $25 102d
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 99¢ $486 102d
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? SELL No 99¢ $20 102d
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? SELL No 99¢ $79 102d
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? SELL No 100¢ $56 102d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee SELL Yes 97¢ $106 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +4.0% -5.9% 100% 0% -5.8%
≤30d 6 +1.0% -8.6% 33% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 13 +1.8% -7.9% 46% 0% -8.4%
all 35 -2.3% -11.6% 17% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 0% -9.8%
10% -20.0% 0% -18.4%
15% -27.8% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.9% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records