trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -44.6% | -49.8% | 0% | 0% | -49.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 80% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 31% | 0% | -11.5% |
| all | 24 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 25% | 8% | +36.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 8% | +36.6% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 8% | +23.6% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 8% | +11.6% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 8% | +0.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -45% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 30? | May 31 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 25? | May 27 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Manchester United FC? | May 25 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 21 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 16 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 07 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $1 | $0 | -24% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 28 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 24 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-15? | Feb 22 | $5 | +$6 | +144% |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16? | Feb 22 | $198 | +$150 | +75% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 20 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 15 | $1 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 11 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |