Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc584…6c9d
crypto · 423 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,321 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,321 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses183 / 240
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)423 / 423
History coverage131d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 423 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 Over 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) Cavaliers 53¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Los Ratones 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $335 $0 −$335 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +104%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 06 $2 +$2 +129%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) Apr 26 $100 −$99 -99%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 26 $51 +$51 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 20 $19 +$11 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 20 $196 −$193 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 20 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Apr 20 $38 −$19 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Apr 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Apr 20 $31 −$10 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 20 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $27 +$33 +122%
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Apr 19 $7 −$4 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 19 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 19 $2 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Apr 19 $18 +$22 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Apr 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 18 $3 −$1 -35%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 17 $11 −$10 -99%
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) Apr 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 27 $8 +$12 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$1,364
sports 14% −$11
other 4% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +13.1% +2.3% 52% 52% -16.1%
≤30d 25 +13.2% +2.4% 52% 52% -15.4%
≤90d 60 -10.2% -18.8% 40% 40% -47.3%
all 423 -1.2% -10.6% 43% 43% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 43% -27.7%
10% -19.2% 42% -34.7%
15% -27.0% 41% -41.0%
20% -34.1% 40% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 992 history records