Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc574…b9da
crypto · 696 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,421 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21,468 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$667
Realized−$21,468
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses350 / 408
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$79
Open positions14
Markets (closed)758 / 696
History coverage50d
Avg bet$225
Trades / day60.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 14 History 758 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,822
7 days−$14,500
14 days−$13,035
30 days−$14,306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $120 $148 +$28 (+24%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $90 $112 +$22 (+25%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $120 $95 −$25 (-21%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $85 $77 −$7 (-9%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $64 $58 −$5 (-9%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $48 $40 −$8 (-16%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $38 −$12 (-25%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+7%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $30 $24 −$6 (-20%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $18 $15 −$3 (-17%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-7%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-12%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-31%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$146 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$117 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $193 −$134 -70%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $211 −$211 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 14 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $294 −$294 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $287 −$287 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $336 −$336 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Jun 14 $297 −$297 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $442 −$442 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $732 −$732 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $529 −$529 -100%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 Jun 14 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $480 −$480 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $262 −$262 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $146 −$204 -140%
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $387 −$387 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $519 −$519 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $189 −$189 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) Jun 14 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $431 −$431 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $194 −$194 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$9,228
sports 1% +$838
other 1% −$289
weather 0% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $206 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $204 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $39 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $49 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -47.8% -52.7% 29% 27% -42.0%
≤30d 676 -15.2% -23.3% 47% 42% -18.2%
≤90d 758 -16.7% -24.7% 46% 42% -21.0%
all 758 -16.7% -24.7% 46% 42% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 42% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 34% -28.6%
15% -38.4% 27% -35.5%
20% -44.5% 21% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $667.18 · official $667.18 (match) · 3500 history records