Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc566…fd29
other · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)5 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit11%
Chart Positions 4 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? Yes 71¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +52%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 94% −$2
sports 6% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 30¢ $1 5h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $2 16h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $3 16h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 18h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 21h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-72.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -69.6% -72.5% 20% 20% -34.4%
≤30d 5 -69.6% -72.5% 20% 20% -34.4%
≤90d 5 -69.6% -72.5% 20% 20% -34.4%
all 5 -69.6% -72.5% 20% 20% -34.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -72.5% 20% -34.4%
10% -75.1% 20% -40.7%
15% -77.5% 20% -46.4%
20% -79.7% 20% -51.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.95 · official $7.95 (match) · 12 history records