Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc565…1263
crypto · 1545 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$60 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$147 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$147
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1393 / 147
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1540 / 1545
History coverage28d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 1540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$251
14 days−$189
30 days−$147
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Up 94¢ 90¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Down 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$116
other 1% −$4
tech 0% +$2
world 0% −$35
finance 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY 36¢ $5 3h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY 57¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 424 -12.4% -20.8% 81% 4% -18.4%
≤30d 1540 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 5% -10.5%
≤90d 1540 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 5% -10.5%
all 1540 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 5% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 5% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 2% -19.1%
15% -27.8% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.86 · official $19.86 · 3500 history records