Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc55e…0c95
crypto · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses4 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $33 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-53.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -48.8% -53.7% 33% 33% -48.6%
≤30d 12 -48.8% -53.7% 33% 33% -48.6%
≤90d 12 -48.8% -53.7% 33% 33% -48.6%
all 12 -48.8% -53.7% 33% 33% -48.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.7% 33% -48.6%
10% ← realistic here -58.1% 25% -53.6%
15% -62.2% 8% -58.0%
20% -65.9% 0% -62.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records