trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -72.6% | -75.2% | 0% | 0% | -83.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -72.6% | -75.2% | 0% | 0% | -83.1% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -29.3% | -36.1% | 25% | 25% | -29.5% |
| all | 16 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 25% | 25% | -23.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.9% | 25% | -23.2% |
| 10% | -35.7% | 25% | -30.5% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 25% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 25% | -43.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $6 | $7 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$3 | -52% |
| UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma | Jun 11 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 11 | $17 | −$6 | -38% |
| UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai | May 17 | $25 | +$15 | +61% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $17 | +$32 | +194% |
| Will Josh Emmett win by KO or TKO? | May 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main C | May 10 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Mar 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Mar 08 | $7 | +$12 | +177% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Mar 08 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Mar 03 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO? | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Mar 01 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main | Mar 01 | $4 | +$7 | +171% |