Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:24:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc547…7b30
crypto · 417 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,998 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,978 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$56
Realized−$1,978
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses204 / 212
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)416 / 417
Avg bet$194
Trades / day1669.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,978
7 days−$1,978
14 days−$1,978
30 days−$1,978
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 48¢ 40¢ $31 $26 −$5 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 57¢ 60¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$20 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $246 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$21 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$32 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $307 −$18 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$20 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$16 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $281 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$29 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$54 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $285 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $183 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $403 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$15 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $325 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $369 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $308 −$9 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $410 −$53 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $259 −$19 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$61 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$23 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $311 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $369 −$10 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $348 −$38 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $360 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $271 −$32 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $291 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $331 −$31 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $195 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$22 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$15 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,996
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $33 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $49 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $37 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $35 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $23 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $23 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $32 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $58 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $42 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $56 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $29 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $30 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $54 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $16 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 416 +4.4% -5.6% 49% 29% -11.7%
≤30d 416 +4.4% -5.6% 49% 29% -11.7%
≤90d 416 +4.4% -5.6% 49% 29% -11.7%
all 416 +4.4% -5.6% 49% 29% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1669.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 29% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 19% -20.2%
15% -22.8% 14% -27.9%
20% -30.4% 10% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.65 · official $54.39 · 3500 history records