Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:09:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc545…8c39 crypto 949 markets active 0h ago coverage 37d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$505 (+1%) realized +$505 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate52%498W / 451L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$53per market
Trades / day61.8pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$377
14 days−$1,109
30 days−$1,101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,069
sports 0% +$16
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 -14.5% -22.6% 53% 49% -19.6%
≤30d 946 -11.7% -20.1% 52% 44% -11.5%
≤90d 949 -11.6% -20.0% 52% 44% -11.4%
all 949 -11.6% -20.0% 52% 44% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 44% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 35% -19.9%
15% -34.7% 28% -27.7%
20% -41.1% 20% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$23 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$505
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses498 / 451
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)949 / 949
History coverage37d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day61.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 949 Trades
no open positions (200 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$15 +279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $18 +$14 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$11 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2629 history records