Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc51e…a146
sports · 204 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
−$1,991 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,991 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,991
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses131 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$255
Open positions0
Markets (closed)204 / 204
History coverage271d
Avg bet$399
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$250
7 days+$314
14 days+$541
30 days+$387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 55¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 34¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 36¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A BC.Game Esports 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs FURIA 60¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $540 +$57 +11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $250 +$7 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $301 −$53 -18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $647 −$159 -24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $401 +$16 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,005 +$90 +9%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $232 −$94 -40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $113 −$94 -82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,790 +$69 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $230 +$27 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,199 +$37 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $900 −$6 -1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $939 +$159 +17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $223 +$42 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $179 +$19 +11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $900 −$22 -2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $920 −$5 -0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $865 +$43 +5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $840 +$33 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $201 +$40 +20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $23 −$23 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $749 +$66 +9%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $851 −$10 -1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,418 −$13 -1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $204 −$3 -1%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $722 −$4 -0%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $69 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $201 +$24 +12%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $93 +$17 +19%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,019 −$10 -1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $233 +$36 +15%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $950 +$42 +4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $98 +$32 +32%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $276 +$22 +8%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $601 +$21 +4%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $659 −$2 -0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $560 +$13 +2%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $50 −$7 -13%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $386 −$82 -21%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $500 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $118 −$13 -11%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $501 +$19 +4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $227 +$48 +21%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $338 +$26 +8%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $200 −$39 -19%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $244 −$72 -30%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $200 +$12 +6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $34 −$34 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $128 +$17 +13%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $595 +$22 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$125
other 9% −$2,038
crypto 2% +$175
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $597 55m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 96¢ $439 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $257 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $106 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 95¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 66¢ $142 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 97¢ $250 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $200 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 71¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 60¢ $489 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $647 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 97¢ $417 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 93¢ $401 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $1,095 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 84¢ $1,005 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 44¢ $139 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 80¢ $119 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 13¢ $20 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 71¢ $113 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 65¢ $114 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $1,178 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 96¢ $1,132 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $160 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $74 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $184 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $184 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $25 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 92¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -5.7% -14.7% 58% 24% -8.3%
≤30d 110 -5.1% -14.2% 64% 26% -8.4%
≤90d 164 -4.0% -13.1% 65% 27% -9.3%
all 204 -2.1% -11.4% 64% 29% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 29% -11.7%
10% -19.9% 11% -20.1%
15% -27.7% 5% -27.8%
20% -34.7% 4% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 776 history records