Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:01:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc51a…3063
crypto · 45 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses23 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage42d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$0
14 days+$2
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 30 $1 +$2 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 30 $1 +$2 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 30 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 22 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 22 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 18 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 18 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 15 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 15 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 13 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 13 $1 +$1 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 04 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 20¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 62¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 32¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? SELL Down 6¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? BUY Down 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -0.9% -10.4% 57% 50% -9.0%
≤30d 36 +0.6% -9.0% 56% 53% -6.1%
≤90d 45 -8.7% -17.4% 51% 49% -12.3%
all 45 -8.7% -17.4% 51% 49% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 49% -12.3%
10% -25.3% 40% -20.7%
15% -32.5% 31% -28.4%
20% -39.2% 16% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 88 history records